A random sample of county voters gives a 95% confidence interval of (0.56, 0.68) for the proportion of all county voters who support adding protected bike lanes. Which interpretation is correct?
- AExactly 95% of county voters have support levels between 0.56 and 0.68.
- BThe P-value gives the probability that the null hypothesis is true after the sample has been observed.
- CThere is a 95% probability that the sample proportion is between 0.56 and 0.68.
- DThe method used to make the interval captures the true countywide support proportion in about 95% of repeated random samples.correct
- EIf the same sample were surveyed again, the interval would be the same 95% of the time.
Why D is correct
A confidence level describes the long-run success rate of the interval method. The parameter is the fixed countywide support proportion, and the interval (0.56, 0.68) is one estimate from one random sample.
Confidence interval interpretation for a proportion: in the "A random sample of county voters gives a 95% confidence interval of (0.56, 0.68) for the proportion of all county voters who support adding protected bike lanes. Which interpretation is correct?" setting, especially proportion of county voters who support adding protected bike lanes, build the interval with the correct standard error and interpret it in context. The professional check is to keep the values 95%, 0.56, 0.68, 0.95, the confidence interval interpretation method, and the final answer choice aligned with Inference for Categorical Data: Proportions.
Common mistakes. For the stem cue "A random sample of county voters gives a ninety five percent confidence interval of (zero point five six, zero point six eight) for the proportion of all county voters who support adding", a likely mistake is the sample proportion is known once the sample is observed; the interval estimates the population proportion. Keep the calculation or conclusion tied to the original context.